This role will be responsible for providing inputs to the short-range outlook (sro) by reviewing and understanding site build plans (mps), shipment data, product run rates and the demand plans (though all avenues) for selected sites; reconciling actual usage to the planned unconstrained demand forecast monthly, and gathering, analyzing and recommending changes to existing plans based on findings.
*key responsibilities*
- improve forecast accuracy into the sro by implementing and leading processes to collect data, analyze trends, and prepare forecasts, utilizing rapid response, servigistics or other appropriate planning tool in support of the sales, inventory and operations planning (siop) process, working closely with finance to ensure commonality in process, data and expectations.
- team with site and demand teams to ensure solid development and deployment of a robust process to capture historical data from direct oe, spares and r&o sites to capture upcoming business initiatives to improve the forecast accuracy and provide the unconstrained demand plan (udp) to the integrated supply chain.
- identify and analyze site run rates and shipments, month v month, year v year, ytd trends, and aggregate into a single set of outputs.
- analysis will include oem, spares and repair and overhaul shipments.
- provide direction on forecasting method (cbo, market driven, dependent, leading indicators, etc.) and factors to include in the forecasting process.
- document assumptions used and validate throughout siop process.
- assure integration with siop process to compare the unconstrained demand forecast with aggregate supply constraints and understand the impact to customer and financial commitments (e.g. Aop, strap).
- measure demand plan v supply plans and determine root cause of gaps or performance to plan and recommend changes/improvements.
- ensure collaboration between isc (sites) and demand management (sbu/cbts) to understand internal and external factors that may impact the forecast.
- provide a closed loop process that integrates supply capability with demand/finance plans.
- participate in cdp reviews in support of the siop management operation system (mos) which includes aggregating the unconstrained demand forecast, comparing supply plan at all the honeywell sites, and determining course of action to manage both supply and demand.
- participate and recommend actions to improve finished goods inventory optimization.
- ability to drive siop vision and collaboration into the site/ cbt extended team.
- strong bias for action and ability to make informed decisions in a complex environment and drive execution via indirect leadership.
- strong collaboration within sbus and functions: demand management, isc, finance and cbts to ensure common tools & processes are implemented
- develop collaborative processes to collect data, analyze trends, and create long term product line/site forecasts.
- high level of interaction with material planning and procurement (mpp), integrated supply chain (isc), tools and oem demand team members, platform leaders/directors, sales, sbu finance.